This year in politics has been a crazy, unpredictable ride, thanks in large part to Donald Trump, but that isn’t stopping political scientists from using data to try to predict the outcome of this year’s election.
One man, Helmut North, has attempted to do just that using a statistical model that had been correct for all but one election in the last 104 years.
The results — even for the most passionate Donald Trump supporter — are hard to believe. The perpetually correct model not only has Donald Trump winning the presidency, but the odds of him winning are huge.
The model doesn’t just predict a win, or even a landslide. It predicts, by all measures, a Donald Trump blowout.
To see just how high his chances are, see the next page:
The media don’t know anything about the “silent majority”! Just wait and see!
The electoral college elects the president. American people vote to let their voices be heard. Even if Trump wins the peoples/popular vote, that still does not guarantee he will win.
That’s never going to happen. If it did I would be the first one in the streets protesting. Regardless of wwhich party.
Yeah. Right. Never going to happen. Hillary for President
Trump 2016!!!
Subj: Fwd: Here It Is! Detailed List of Findings in Wikileaks DNC Document Dump
http://reagancoalition.com/articles/2016/here-it-is-detailed-list-of-findings-in-wikileaks-dnc-document-dump.html?utm_source=fnot1&utm_medium=facebook
It’s a sad election when the main tactic of both sides is to ignore policy and point out how bad the other candidate is … and they’re both right.
MrTrump All The Way
Benghazi was the definition of a stupid intelligence failure. It was, in fact, one of the worst intelligence failures in our history, a strategic blunder that resulted in the murder of a U.S. ambassador and three other Americans. Hillary is guilty of gross negligence.
Hillary deliberately demonstrate disdain for the Federal Records Act and nullify the protections of the Freedom of Information Act, she violated the Espionage Act by having information relating to the national defense on her server at all. And her deliberate disregard for national security made the job of all hackers that much easier. Anyone else would have been arrested by now. Hillary Clinton is a criminal, military heroes who have risked their lives for this country have gone to prison for less.
Obama may well have offended Justice Kennedy with his unseemly rebuke of the Supreme Court at the State of the Union. And by offering exaggerated political claims and making arguments directed to the justices about a case before the Court, he may have offended other justices as well. A month or so ago, Trump accusing federal judge Curiel of being bias against him. What we see here is another example of Trump’s loud, bullying style that has no respect for the norms and values of our institutions. Obama and Trump vendetta signals a remarkable disregard for judicial independence and our Constitution.
Donald Trump exists in a plane where there isn’t a Congress or a Constitution. There are no trade-offs or limits. There is only his will and his team of experts who will figure out how to do whatever he wants to do, no matter how seemingly impossible. The thought you can’t do that doesn’t ever occur to him. He would deport the American-born children of illegal immigrants. He has mused about shutting down mosques. “One of the first things I’d do in terms of executive order if I win would be to sign a strong, strong statement that will go out to the country, out to the world, that anybody caught killing a policeman, policewoman, police officer — anybody killing a police officer: death penalty,” Trump said in Milford, New Hampshire for a New England Police Benevolence Association event. Under Tenth Amendment the Federal government does not have the power to prosecute or sentence state penal code felons, or the power to punish murderers. Abortion, marriage, death penalty, and firearms regulations are states’ rights.
Anyone who could listen to the monstrosities that Trump spews out and still support him is not a Constitutionalist, wouldn’t know what a are the principles of the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution of the United States of America.
It is natural to Obama, Hillary and Trump fans to indulge in the illusions of hope. We are apt to shut our eyes against a painful truth, and listen to the song of that siren, till she transforms us into slaves.
Actions by Obama, Trump and Hillary have proven that apparently do not understand the Constitution. If they do know what the Constitution stands for, then we should hold them responsible for willfully repudiating their oath of office. I’m not repudiating my oath “ I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic;”
The lesson of Obamas election and re-election: In the modern era, it takes a diverse coalition to win the White House. Unfortunately, sometimes the only way for people to learn a lesson is to experience the consequences of their decisions, even if it means we must bear pain while allowing those consequences to take place (just like disciplining children). With Trump the Republican Party has already lost this presidential election. I look for a candidate of Constitutional conviction, servant leaders and patriots. Trump is none of these…nor is Hillary. If we are ever to get our country back, we must unite in voting for a principled leader who will defend and uphold the constitution, not support the lesser of two evils because it’s the evil with an “R” next to it on the ballot. The lesser of two evils is still evil.
I cannot vote against my convictions, principles, ideals, and values. I am a life-long Republican, for the 1st time since I became eligible to vote, I will decide on third candidate with Constitutional conviction. I will vote for Gary Johnson (Libertarian, (former Republican governor of New Mexico) the only pro-constitutional candidate out there.
Charlie Gaumer why did u like this horseshit?
We can only pray it holds this time too