Perhaps all the talk of a broken/contested convention is just wishful thinking by the mainstream media. Ohio Governor John Kasich obviously has 0% chance of getting to 1,237 delegates — and after Trump’s Northeast sweep on Tuesday, Cruz has no chance either. According to a Princeton study it’s not only possible for Donald Trump to clinch the nomination before the convention, but almost a guarantee.
Put through the PEC delegate simulator, the median delegate count is 1333 (interquartile range 1304-1339). The probability of getting to 1237 delegates is 98%
What if we assume that Trump will lose Indiana? In that case the median drops to 1284 delegates (interquartile range 1278-1287). The probability of getting to 1237 is now 97%
The 1% change in probability is inconsequential. The main effect of forcing a Cruz win in Indiana is to reduce uncertainty in the delegate count[…]
The mainstream media and the Cruz campaign claims that if Donald Trump does not win Indiana then we are surely headed for a contested convention. According to Princeton’s study, that theory just doesn’t hold water. It is doubtful that Donald Trump is shaking in his boots over a 97% chance of winning the nomination.
Source: Princeton Election Consortium
.This is the democrats and republicans Establishment America voted for IN 2008 will the same mistake be made again…….
The establishment is afraid of TRUMP and losing the control they have on the AMERICAN PEOPLE.. because he has spoken the truth about the democrats and republicans corrupted establishment..WE all have a past. TRUMP is for America why would he submit himself to ALL the c**p he’s enduring. He doesn’t have to. But he sees where America is at and heading. He is for the AMERICAN PEOPLE…….I’m voting for America and TRUMP defenders of the second amendment rights.
I WONDER WHAT ELSE THIS GOVERNMENT WILL HAVE TO TRY AND STOP TRUMP
Trump for president
go Trump
Go$#%&!@*ur silfe sir u will naver be ledir don’t tiry
Hello how you doing , I am new on here I would like to meet new people and also do you mind friendship?
Hello how you doing , I am new on here I would like to meet new people and also do you mind friendship?
Hello how you doing , I am new on here I would like to meet new people and also do you mind friendship?
Hello how you doing , I am new on here I would like to meet new people and also do you mind friendship?