Poll Shows 55 Percent to Vote for Britain to Leave EU in June


The numbers have shifted as people have learned more about the referendum. At first a clear majority of British wanted to stay part of the EU, but as more information was provided, the situation has reversed. As in the U.S., business is more than happy to have immigrants come in and compete for the jobs that are available. The Labor party, representing unions, is a bit more dubious as union members express dissatisfaction over scarce housing and stagnant wages. But just as it is in the U.S., the Labor party sees a potential increase in membership by unlimited immigration, and the move seems to be going towards leaving the EU rather than staying. That could very well swing the entire election.

Polling carried out for ‘The Independent’ [newspaper] shows that 55 per cent of UK voters intend to vote for Britain to leave the EU in the 23 June referendum

The survey of 2,000 people by ORB found that 55 per cent believe the UK should leave the EU (up four points since our last poll in April), while 45 per cent want it to remain (down four points). These figures are weighted to take account of people’s likelihood to vote. It is by far the biggest lead the Leave camp has enjoyed since ORB began polling the EU issue for The Independent a year ago, when it was Remain who enjoyed a 10-point lead. Now the tables have turned.

Even when the findings are not weighted for turnout, Leave is on 53 per cent (up three points since April) and Remain on 47 per cent (down three). The online poll, taken on Wednesday and Thursday, suggests the Out camp has achieved momentum at the critical time ahead of the 23 June referendum.

Differential turnout could prove crucial. ORB found that 78 per cent of Leave supporters say they will definitely vote – describing themselves as a “10” on a scale of 0-10, while only 66 per cent of Remain supporters say the same.

Many people seem ready to vote for Brexit even though the poll shows they believe it involves some risk and think the economy is more important than immigration – widely seen as the Leave camp’s trump card.

However, warnings about the economic impact of Brexit appear to have hit home. According to ORB, eight out of 10 people – and of Conservative voters – think leaving the EU would pose some risk, and only 19 per cent think it would pose no risk at all. But a majority of both groups are still prepared to take the risk.

Polling experts say the result is still too close to call, and that there has been a late swing to the “status quo” option in previous referendums, including the one on Scottish independence in 2014. They also point out that telephone polls consistently give Remain a higher rating than online surveys.

Similar to the U.S., one of the favorite tactics by those who favor continued membership in the EU and who are therefore pro-immigration is to call those concerned about unabated floods of people into their country “racists.” That is interesting, because in this case the migrants are from a wide variety of backgrounds, so it is not one race the “Leaves” object to. The reality is that no country can absorb unlimited immigration, and the unrecognized and uncounted costs in education, infrastructure, and cultural change and of welcoming in huge waves of migrants are huge. It is simply unfair to expect the native population to pay the price to absorb these incoming hordes simply to satisfy the desire of businesses for cheap labor and politicians for new voters. That is true in Britain and it should be true in the United States.

Fortunately, Britain has an answer for the politicians, and it is Brexit. A 10% difference in spite of a full court press by the government through the media to get Brits to vote for continuing with the immigration program is huge, especially with the potential for other economic ramifications. But people will at some point recognize they are being conned to benefit business and government and will vote the bums out. If only we could do the same, it would be grand.

Source: independent.co.uk



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