Extreme food shortages, hyperinflation and global unrest are predicted by CNA Corp’s Institute for Public Research in a scenario run called “Food Chain Reaction” simulation.
CNA Corporation is a government contractor established in 1942 to provide scientific research for the US Navy and Marine Corps. Its CEO, Dr. Katherine A. W. McGrady, is a scientific analyst to the US military’s Chief of Naval Operations and the Vice Chief of Naval Operations.
Four different organizations commissioned CNA Corp to conduct the exercise: the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), the Center for American Progress, giant food corporation Cargill, which controls a quarter of US grain exports, and Mars Inc., the global sweet manufacturer.
Though not billed as a prediction, the simulation certainly helps forecast what could happen and make realistic plans in the probable event such a food crisis will occur.
By 2024, the scenario saw global food prices spike by as much as 395 percent due to prolonged crop failures in key food basket regions, driven largely by climate change, oil price spikes, and confused responses from the international community.
“Disruptions affected developed and developing countries alike, creating political and economic instability, and contributing to social unrest in certain areas,” the project’s technical report states.
As the world has watched the chaos in Venezuela, where food shortages have driven the prices to exorbitant levels, one can see how social unrest and instability would occur should this simulation come to pass.
One goal of the project was to give a framework for dealing with the national unrest and security.
Although the scenario was not produced as a forecast, it was designed to provide a plausible framework to test the resilience of the national security system from the perspective of the US government, private industry, and civil society.
One outcome was a panel hosted on Tuesday by the Center for American Progress on ‘The National Security implications of Climate Change and Food Security’, featuring Nancy Stetson, the US State Department’s Special Representative for Global Food Security.
Is this just another devise that would “justify” more government takeover and the enactment of marital law?
The simulation was set in 2020 with a “reasonably healthy global economy” and oil prices at $75 a barrel.
Food prices climb steadily due to “weather-related disruptions to agricultural production,” affecting South and Southeast Asia, Australia, and North America. Global crop production falls 1 percent short of expectations leading to decreases in stock and further modest price increases.
Things get really rough after 2023 due to serious droughts and heatwaves in China, India, Russia, and Ukraine, coinciding with oil prices that rapidly increase to above $100 a barrel.
By 2024, heat and drought hit the European Union, Russia, and Ukraine, while subsiding elsewhere, triggering a food price spike “reaching 395 percent of long-term averages,” and a global economic slowdown.
By 2027, these conditions begin to calm only because an economic slump has diminished demand, while high prices stimulate food production. A respite from weather-related disruptions allows food stocks to be re-built, and prices then come down gradually.
Of course, there is a happy ever after ending to the “game” with an “optimistic scenario of food prices dropping from 395 to 141 percent of long-term averages and a recovering global economy.”
Part of that optimistic scenario involves fortuitously massive Band Aid-style worldwide donations to the UN’s World Food Programme, which thankfully “leave the world well prepared to handle the catastrophe in areas humanitarian groups can reach.”
Interestingly, Wayne Croley, a commentator on the Biblical prophecy of Revelation 6:6 points out a similar forecast to that found in the simulation.
The very dramatic increase in the price of wheat that John described is indicative of a tremendous shortage of food because prices generally do not increase this much without a major supply shortage. The shortage could be caused by natural conditions, man-made conditions, or both. Here are a couple of potential factors-natural and man-made-that could limit the supply of food available:
- The weather on Earth at that time may be even more uncooperative than it is now when it comes to growing crops…
- The wars following the opening of the second seal could lead to significant crop destruction…
The likelihood of a food crisis of global proportions is not that far-fetched as this simulation has shown. The question is, will the insight into the potential crisis be a tool used to prepare long before an emergency occurs or will it be ignored resulting in a government takeover to control the social disorder due to mass food shortages?
Let’s just hope that CNA Corporation’s main backer—the US government—doesn’t simply wait for a climate-driven food crisis to kick in. That would leave FEMA little choice but to invoke draconian emergency measures to maintain national order amidst hunger and anger.